For years, gold bugs and Bitcoiners lived in separate universes. Today, thousands of investors hold both – and they’ve noticed something fascinating: gold (XAU) and Bitcoin (BTC) often move together during big macro events, yet they can dramatically diverge for months. Learning to read both charts on the same screen is one of the highest-ROI skills a new stacker can develop in 2025.
This guide is 100 % beginner-friendly. No Elliott waves, no Ichimoku – just the practical tools and patterns that actually matter.
1. Set Up Your Screen (5 Minutes That Change Everything)
Use TradingView (free) and create this layout:
- Top chart: XAU/USD (gold spot price in dollars)
- Bottom chart: BTC/USD
- Overlay #1: Add → “Compare” → type BTC → this puts Bitcoin as a thin line ON the gold chart
- Overlay #2: Add DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) on both charts
- Timeframe: Start with the weekly chart, then drop to daily
You now instantly see four things at once: gold price, Bitcoin price, gold priced in Bitcoin (XAU/BTC), and the dollar’s strength.
2. The Three Relationships You Must Understand
A. Gold vs Bitcoin in USD (what most people watch) B. Gold/Bitcoin ratio (XAU/BTC) – the real “which is winning” chart C. Both vs DXY – they usually move opposite the dollar
Pro tip: When DXY is dropping hard (weak dollar), both gold and Bitcoin tend to moon. When DXY rips higher, both get crushed. 80 % of the biggest moves since 2018 were dollar-driven.
3. The Most Useful Timeframes for Beginners
- Monthly → big-picture regime (risk-on vs risk-off)
- Weekly → where trends are born and die
- Daily → entries and exits
- 4-hour → noise (ignore until you’re comfortable)
Start every analysis on weekly, then zoom in.
4. Key Levels & Patterns That Actually Repeat
A. Gold (XAU/USD)
- $2,000 – psychological round number, defended 2020–2025
- $2,400–$2,500 – new all-time high zone (2024–2025 breakout area)
- 200-week moving average – gold has never closed more than ~25 % below it
- Classic cup-and-handle breakouts (see 2019 and 2024)
B. Bitcoin
- Previous cycle all-time high acts as support next cycle (example: 2021 high ~$69k became 2024 support)
- 200-week MA – Bitcoin’s “never touch for long” line
- Halving cycles (every ~4 years) → 12–18 months of parabolic upside after halving
C. Gold/Bitcoin Ratio (XAU/BTC)
This is the single most under-followed chart in the space.
- Long-term range since 2015: 0.015 – 0.080
- Below 0.025 → Bitcoin is expensive vs gold (2021, 2024 peaks)
- Above 0.060 → Gold is expensive vs Bitcoin (2018, 2020, 2023 bear market bottoms)
When the ratio hits extremes, the laggard usually outperforms for 6–24 months.
5. Simple Rules That Work 2025 Edition
- Strong dollar (DXY rising fast) → both gold and BTC usually fall → reduce leverage, accumulate slowly
- Weak dollar + rising inflation fears → gold leads, then Bitcoin follows with leverage
- Global liquidity pulse (Fed pausing or cutting) → Bitcoin leads violently, gold follows steadily
- Banking crisis or geopolitical shock → gold shoots first, Bitcoin catches up days/weeks later
- When XAU/BTC ratio < 0.025 → consider swapping some BTC into gold
- When XAU/BTC ratio > 0.060 → consider swapping some gold into BTC
6. Real-World Examples (2022–2025)
- March 2023 → Both crashed together as Fed hiked aggressively (DXY surge)
- Nov 2022 → XAU/BTC hit 0.067 → gold bottomed, Bitcoin kept falling another 4 months → perfect swap signal
- Oct 2023 → Hamas/Israel + U.S. bond rout → gold spiked to new ATH while Bitcoin was still sleeping → classic flight-to-safety lead
- March–July 2024 → Bitcoin broke $73k while gold chopped sideways → XAU/BTC collapsed to 0.027 → Bitcoin outperformance phase
7. One-Click Templates (Copy-Paste into TradingView)
Gold + Bitcoin + Ratio + DXY dashboard https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=XAUUSD&overlay=BTCUSD,DXY&interval=W
Gold priced in Bitcoin only XAUBTC or GOLD/BTC on most exchanges
8. Checklist Before Every Trade or Rebalance
□ What is DXY doing this week? □ Where is the XAU/BTC ratio relative to 0.03 and 0.06? □ Are we closer to Bitcoin halving (bullish BTC) or Fed tightening cycle peak (bullish gold)? □ Is one asset at major weekly support/resistance while the other isn’t?
If you can answer these four questions, you already see more than 95 % of market participants.
Final Thought
Gold and Bitcoin are not enemies – they are siblings with different personalities. Gold is the calm, 5,000-year-old tortoise. Bitcoin is the hyperactive hare on rocket fuel.
Reading their charts together doesn’t require a PhD. It just requires watching the dollar, watching the ratio, and respecting the weekly timeframe.
Do that for six months and you’ll develop an almost unfair edge in timing rotations between the two hardest assets on the planet.
Start today. Open TradingView, add BTC to your gold chart, and watch the last five years in fast-forward. The “aha” moments will hit you in under ten minutes.
NOTE
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